Die Ursa Major war auf dem Weg nach Wladiwostok und nicht unterwegs, um bei der Evakuierung von Tartus zu helfen. Angesichts der beförderten Ladung ist dies für Russland sogar noch schlimmer, als wenn es nach Tartus unterwegs gewesen wäre.

https://x.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1871364800451944943

9 Comments

  1. Listelmacher on

    In case you don’t want to visit X,
    copy&paste the best I could:
    .
    Oliver Alexander on X: “🧵The Ursa Major was heading to Vladivostok
    and not en route to aid in the evacuation of Tartus.
    Given cargo it carried, this is in fact even worse for Russia
    than if it had been heading to Tartus.”
    🧵The Ursa Major was heading to Vladivostok and not en route to aid in the evacuation of Tartus.
    Given cargo it carried, this is in fact even worse for Russia than if it had been heading to Tartus.

    The Ursa was carrying two Liebherr 420 mobile cranes for the harbor in Vladivostok
    that is heavily backed up due to a lack of cranes and two 45-ton hatches
    for the construction of the new Project 10510 nuclear powered icebreaker.
    https://obl ru/pressa/news/podnyat-600-tonn-legko/
    Google finds this with:
    Поднять 600 тонн? Легко! – пресс-центр компании ООО

    In this image you can see both of the the cranes, as well as grab buckets for bulk handling
    at the harbor in Vladivostok at the front of the vessel.
    The loss of these cranes will severely hurt loading/unloading times in Vladivostok.

    In the same image you can see the two 45-ton hatches at the rear of the vessel covered in a blue tarp.
    These are the two hatches designed to cover the nuclear reactor on the Project 10510.
    They can be seen directly in front of the smokestack on the mode.

    The loss of these two hatches will delay construction of the Project 10510 significantly.”
    .
    Remark from my side:
    The new submarine “Ursa Major” belongs to a company with the name
    «Оборонлогистика»/Oboronlogistika
    Oboron … armor … yes, the company is part of the Russian war ministry:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oboronlogistics

    There is said to have been an explosion in the engine room.
    I have absolutely no idea which additional cargo could have caused an explosion. /s

  2. Secret-Temperature71 on

    This is interesting when 2 of the very best analyst disagree.

    Oliver Alexander points to the listed destination of Validvostok.

    H I Sutton notes this but believes that was a subterfuge, the REAL destination was someplace in Libia and the cranes were intended to improve port facilities so Russia could replace the lost Syrian port.

    It may well be the cranes, German made, were initially intended for someplace else or even valdivostok, but were now being rerouted to Libya.

    No matter who is right this is a sever blow to Russia’s global force projection. It is unlikely those cranes can be replaced and it would take years even if a supplier could be found.

    It also raises the question of what happened to the ship. An onboard explosion in the engine room is highly unlikely, diesel just dies not explode. Either something explosive was there, stowed or planted. OR it was a shore based attack, like a maritime drone? Seems unlikely but Ukraine was aiding and training HST, HST hates Russia, could HAT have connections in Algeria that could construct and launch a maritime drone?

    Bottom line, sucks to be Russia right now.

  3. uadrian9999 on

    Must have been that mechanic with the blurry pass who installed that shinny new starter motor, good lad – kept his head down the whole time. Didn’t say a thing……. Slava Ukraini chap – let’s rinse and repeat!

  4. Other option was suggested that the cranes are for new naval rus base in Libya.

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