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6 Comments
Submission statement: Does AI pose an existential threat?
How should we weigh the risks and benefits of open weights?
When, if ever, should AI be regulated? How?
Should AI development be slowed down or accelerated?
Should AI be handled as an issue of national security?
When should we expect AGI?
When should we expect ASI?
The phony comforts of useful idiots
On Casey Newton and the shallowness of anti-skepticism:
https://thetechbubble.substack.com/p/the-phony-comforts-of-useful-idiots
One of my favorite quotes is that this is the worst technology is gonna get.
This would generally be solved by people understanding that AI is not a single thing (heck, most AI systems are relying on multiple different applications of AI and ML to do their work).
Even this article seems to only be talking about LLMs — not AI in general.
Some AI is fake and sucks. Some AI is real and potentially dangerous.
There’s no contradiction in holding both thoughts at the same time.
> Another way you can demonstrate that AI is real is by looking at where tech giants are spending their money. It’s true that tech companies (and the venture capitalists that back them) often make mistakes; VCs expect to have more failures than they have successes. Occasionally, they get an entire sector wrong — see the excess of enthusiasm for cleantech in the 2000s, or the crypto blow-up of the past few years.
> In aggregate, though, and on average, they’re usually right. It’s not impossible that the tech industry’s planned quarter-trillion dollars of spending on infrastructure to support AI next year will never pay off. But it is a signal that they have already seen something real.
VC’s are not correct “in the aggregate”. I worked with a well known VC for 2 years and they had an 11% rate of companies who produced ROI.
The most interesting thing about this article is it’s title, the rest is just stuff we’ve already known/encountered already. Dunno what the author was trying to prove with this one? Trying to cash in on AI fear mongering? Hoping the paranoid techno-schizos would click on it?