Im Norden: Konfrontation mit den Auswirkungen der arktischen Unsicherheit auf die Vereinigten Staaten und die NATO

Geopolitics and strategic competition mean the Arctic security landscape is changing fast. For years, the United States and its allies and partners have sought a “low-tension” environment in the High North. However, Russia represents a threat to NATO and regional stability, marked by increased low-intensity warfare operations and renewed expansion of its military presence. Potential miscalculations and tactical errors risk unintended escalation across critical Arctic choke points and beyond.

Key Recommendations:

1️⃣ The US should be more present and engaged in the Arctic and identify priority capabilities of Arctic-enabled systems, specifically domain awareness capabilities and ice-capable ships with anti-aircraft and anti-submarine capabilities.

2️⃣ NATO must determine its role in circumpolar security and build its Arctic operations and an operational roadmap, including robust joint domain awareness.

3️⃣ Nordic allies must step up and take a leading role in regional security challenges. They can provide critical insights and recommendations to the alliance on how to approach the High North and deter Russia effectively.

4️⃣ Arctic-specific deterrence must consider limiting behavior from Russia and China while avoiding the risk of miscalculation and escalation. It should focus on low-intensity warfare operations and new cold-weather technologies to better identify threats.