Nach vielen Vorschlägen gestern habe ich mir angeschaut, wer gegen Trump besser abgeschnitten hat: Clinton oder Harris? und es erzählt eine ganz andere Geschichte als der Stimmenanteil, den jeder erhielt [OC]

So I should note that votes are still being counted in the 2024 election, so the final numbers could a little different.

Yesterday’s post: [https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1gwdsao/where_did_hillary_clinton_outperform_kamala/](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1gwdsao/where_did_hillary_clinton_outperform_kamala/)

I created this map on the suggestion of several people in yesterday’s post that a better way to look at things would be the vote margin rather than vote share.

And it does tell a very different story.

In 2016, Clinton got **65,853,514** (**48.2%**) votes vs Trump’s **62,984,828 (46.1%)** for a winning vote margin of 2.1%, she only lost because of the electoral college.

At the time of posting Harris has **74,246,010 (48.4%)** votes vs Trump’s **76,774,608** **(50.0%)** a losing vote margin of 1.6%.

So Harris got a lot more total votes than Clinton, and a higher share of all votes cast, but actually did worse in head to-head vote margins, because Trump managed to increase hist vote totals even more.

Another big part of the story are 3rd parties who got **5.73%** of the vote in 2016 but just **1.89%** of the vote in 2024 (Poor Jill Stein lost over half her support between 2016 and 2024).

3 states tell very interesting stories Florida, New York and California.

Both Harris and Clinton lost Florida, but Clinton only lost it by just over 1% and Harris lost it by 13%. It’s gone from being a swing state to deep red. But at least Harris managed to increase her vote total by 175,773 votes vs Clinton.

Both Clinton and Harris won New York, but Harris got 161,007 fewer votes than Clinton, which is something when there 17 million more votes cast nationally in 2024 vs 2016. The winning margin went from 22% to just 11%.

Finally, California, which is Harris’ home state. She managed to get 324,008 more votes than Clinton, but her winning margin declined by 9.43 percentage points (3rd highest after Florida and New York), 29.98% vs 20.55%. Still pretty safe for the Democrats for now, but a big L for Harris here.