Close Menu
    Welt

    Bevölkerungsrückgang in China um 51 Millionen erwartet, da Maßnahmen zur Förderung der Geburten scheitern


    Bevölkerungsrückgang in China um 51 Millionen erwartet, da Maßnahmen zur Förderung der Geburten scheitern

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-18/china-population-set-for-51-million-drop-as-pro-birth-moves-fail

    View 12 Comments

    12 Comments

    1. bloomberg on

      *From Bloomberg News reporter Katia Dmitrieva:*

      China’s population is expected to shrink by 51 million — more than the size of California — over the next decade as policymakers struggle to reverse the country’s falling birth rate, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.

      By 2035, the population is expected to drop to 1.36 billion, levels not seen since 2012, down from a peak of 1.41 billion in 2021, BI senior industry analyst Ada Li estimates.

      There could be a temporary spike in births in 2024 as the Year of the Dragon is considered an auspicious time to have children. But past single-year surges in birth rates have been short-lived, and this year may be no exception, especially with marriage rates at an all-time low, Li said.

      China faces a looming population crisis, with the United Nations projecting it could shrink to half its current size by 2100.

    2. ninisin on

      I believe they are now promoting high birth rates but the people are fixated at having just one.

    3. DarthArtero on

      The reasons for *why* people aren’t having kids are numerous and, quite frankly, widely known at this point.

      All government officials have to do is leave their echo chambers and see the real world for *what it is* and not for *what they’re told/believe it is*.

      Unfortunately that’s not likely to happen so they (government) will continue to use “the beatings will continue until morale improves” method, that as everyone with reasonable critical thinking skills understand, it doesn’t work.

    4. aedspitpopd on

      Pretty dumb of Bloomberg to not include the time period in the headline and instead put their own opinion as if it were a fact.

      Bloomberg in the headline claims the pro-Birth moves have failed yet in their article mention the government is still enacting pro-birth policies. Does Bloomberg has a time machine?

    5. xanas263 on

      From what I have read on the subject the one child policy created a cultural shift in the country towards seeing having only one child as the ideal life. Insert surprised pickachu face here.

      On top of that China is facing some of the worlds worst young unemployment figures with it sitting at over 20% before the government stopped publicly reporting it early this year.

      So far no other country has successfully managed to reverse the trend of declining births without immigration and even that is short lived as by the 2nd and 3rd generations immigrants mirror the local population in terms of birth rates.

    6. Dapper-Percentage-64 on

      And that’s before they see the Elon Musk shirtless photos

    7. macross1984 on

      That’s what happen when CCP enforced one-child policy for a long time before they belatedly realized it worked too well and rescinded the law.

      Unfortunately, country now have rapidly aging population, skewed ratio of too many males and too little females and woman no longer in a hurry to want to have baby in a hurry in uncertain economic time.

    8. ChibiSailorMercury on

      Pro-birth movements fail because they are pro-birth and not pro-parenthood or pro-childhood. What good is it gonna do Chinese parents to get a small financial incentive to make children if mothers are highly discriminated against on the job market and that it takes 2 sources of revenue to support the needs of a family nowadays.

      What’s the point of giving birth if we can’t be around to raise our children (if we want) because both parents have to work? What if you’re fine with having your children sent to childcare because both parents want to work but childcare costs as much as one of the parents’ entire wage?

      There are many reasons for which people choose to have fewer kids or no kids at all. It seems that governments are reluctant to address these issues. They just want to throw a little bit of money on the problem.

    11. HWTseng on

      They think they can propaganda their way out of real problems associated with child bearing and child raising

    Leave A Reply