[In Québec] Anstieg um 6 % seit Ende des Sommers: Der Bloc Québécois nimmt bei den Wahlabsichten Fahrt auf

https://www.journaldequebec.com/2024/10/08/hausse-de-6-depuis-la-fin-de-lete-le-bloc-quebecois-decolle-dans-les-intentions-de-vote

2 Comments

  1. Hot-Percentage4836 on

    Usually, the Leger/TVA polls give data to both provincial and federal voting intentions in Quebec. These are larger, ~1000 respondents polls, three to four time bigger Quebec samples than the Quebec subsamples in full-Canada polls.

    Only once the poll is fully released with tables, there will be federal data by region in Quebec (Montreal City and suburbs / Quebec City and suburbs / Other regions). Right now, most of the poll is under wraps.

    The general poll results, in Quebec, show:

    1. BQ 35% (+6 from last Leger/TVA)
    2. LPC 27% (=)
    3. CPC 22% (-2)
    4. NDP 11% (-3)

    Once again, the latest trends tend to put the Bloc near 34-35%, which would be a 2-3% increase over 2021, but it would mean big gains thanks to vote division.

    The Liberals hold on, but stay weak. The Conservatives continue to struggle making inroads, and NDP remains a non-factor outside of a few Montreal ridings.

  2. Interesting that the Liberals have remained static, so this gain has come entirely from consolidating support among Conservative, NDP and PPC (!) voters

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