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2 Comments
Usually, the Leger/TVA polls give data to both provincial and federal voting intentions in Quebec. These are larger, ~1000 respondents polls, three to four time bigger Quebec samples than the Quebec subsamples in full-Canada polls.
Only once the poll is fully released with tables, there will be federal data by region in Quebec (Montreal City and suburbs / Quebec City and suburbs / Other regions). Right now, most of the poll is under wraps.
The general poll results, in Quebec, show:
1. BQ 35% (+6 from last Leger/TVA)
2. LPC 27% (=)
3. CPC 22% (-2)
4. NDP 11% (-3)
Once again, the latest trends tend to put the Bloc near 34-35%, which would be a 2-3% increase over 2021, but it would mean big gains thanks to vote division.
The Liberals hold on, but stay weak. The Conservatives continue to struggle making inroads, and NDP remains a non-factor outside of a few Montreal ridings.
Interesting that the Liberals have remained static, so this gain has come entirely from consolidating support among Conservative, NDP and PPC (!) voters