Harris liegt in Pennsylvania 5 Prozentpunkte vor Trump: Umfrage

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4894649-pennsylvania-poll-harris-trump/

46 Comments

  1. another great poll to add to the pile. Every day I get less and less worried about trump.

  2. Local-Ad-5170 on

    I really wish we’d stop putting so much Emphasis on polling whether it’s good or bad. I’m much more interested in statewide office polling And individual house races.

  3. plz-let-me-in on

    > Harris is winning 49 percent support in the poll, compared to 44 percent for Trump, in the race for the Keystone State’s 19 electoral votes.

    Pennsylvania is basically a must-win state for Harris. If she loses Pennsylvania, she’ll basically need to win every other swing state in order to win the presidency. It is probably *the* most important state in the presidential election.

    Give Harris Pennsylvania in [538’s “what-if” tool](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-harris-2024-election-map/), and she has an 88% chance of winning the election (up from the current 58%). Give Trump Pennsylvania, and her chances of winning drop down to 18%.

  4. SpaceCargo22 on

    As a citizen of the commonwealth,!let me say that she needs a bigger lead.

  5. Chytectonas on

    Im amazed that there are people out there for whom something happened in last month that made Trump less attractive to them. Were they blind until September and miraculously regained vision? Had they been under rocks and decided to crawl out and take a look? Like what could possibly have caused this poll swing that didn’t exist 1, 7, 12, 24, 48, 96 months ago?

  6. Winning the blue wall states including PA + 1 single additional electoral vote from Nebraska will be 270, enough for Harris to become the first woman president

  7. TrooperJohn on

    Same outfit that showed her up 7 in Wisconsin.

    Any love is good loving, and I’ll take what I can get. But realistically, how reliable is this source?

  8. bickering_fool on

    On her current trajectory…she’s going to smash it. However with this time line…..

  9. I’m say this with so much love, as someone who has been canvassing the past 4 weekends in a liberal part of PA- I don’t think she’s up by 5. It’s going to be a turn out election, and a close one. But we are optimistic!

  10. Sure_Quality5354 on

    Momentum continues to build in her favor, this is extremely promising. If trends continue, we will never have to worry about a trump presidency again

  11. A few things I think are factoring into this. 1) People tuning into politics and seeing that Trump is somehow worse now. 2) Kamala was not nearly as well known as Biden was, so now undecideds got introduced to her basically at the debate. 3) the Democratic ground game and spending game is way outperforming the GOP.

  12. Plastic-Kangaroo1234 on

    I keep seeing different shit. It’s impossible to really know until Election Day, I guess.

  13. PatSajaksDick on

    Man if she gets PA and WI and all the other givens, she’s good right?

  14. PatSajaksDick on

    Man if she gets PA and WI and all the other givens, she’s good right?

  15. As someone who lives in central Pennsylvania, I am hoping this is true. Lots of Trump signs everywhere.

  16. I hear things like this while every Harris ad tells me she’s being out spent by Trump and behind in every state. I know that’s just fundraising talk but it’s driving me crazy.

  17. Dariawasright on

    Don’t believe it. Just vote Blue and convince everyone they should too!

  18. I am seeing the same amount of signs

    However, the Harris signs are one per house

    The Trump signs are the size of garage doors and they cover the front yard

    Have yet to see a house with only one Trump sign

    These people are so fucking weird

  19. Polls are fake, only the votes count.

    I’m going to be canvassing for Harris in WI and PA between now and Election Day, I live in IL and won’t take any vote for granted.

    Also tho … I don’t want to get too “hopey” here, but people keep saying “oh it was looking good for Clinton at the end of Sept. toooo!”

    Sure, but I don’t recall Clinton having rallies like this. I don’t recall shop owners breaking out into tears at the sight of her and wanting a hug. People weren’t doing TikTok dances and making homemade signs and shirts for Hillary. She didn’t even have a net favorable rating!

    I recall a contingent of educated women who felt it was time for a woman to be President, and that Clinton would work, but I don’t think she was their first choice, either.

    I think the fmr. Sec of State and Senator is incredibly accomplished and I admire her for everything that she has done, she was my “first” First Lady and would’ve made a really exceptional President.

    But was anyone this hyped about it? Now, with Harris it feels different. Maybe I’m wrong, but I’m going to do everything in my power to make it happen.

  20. rumrunner9652 on

    I’m in Florida and am voting blue, blue, blue all the way, but this state is too red for me to hold a lot of hope. I cannot wait to receive my ballot.

  21. I wouldn’t feel comfortable if Harris had a 15 point lead. I won’t feel at ease until Harris is inaugurated and Trump is incarcerated.

  22. PublicImpossible5096 on

    I hope so I see polls where she is up some havre her down by 1 some have them tied. Who knows

  23. alwaysmyfault on

    She wins PA, MI, WI, and it’s all over.

    Fuck you Trump. Rot in Hell.

  24. LovinLifeForever on

    Great! Let’s make it 8 to 10 points more in the next 40 days.

  25. I want two things to happen election night:

    1. Harris has pulled so many electors, GA doesn’t matter

    2. Harris has pulled so many electors, elections are over and I’m watching Parks and Rec reruns.

  26. UnfortunateSandwich on

    This isn’t enough. I want a win so resounding that some of the fox news hosts cry on air. I need this. I’m sorry

  27. beautifulanddoomed on

    wow, not newsweek. I feel like these headlines are always just newsweek

  28. Glad-Midnight-1022 on

    Remember, polls don’t vote. Get out there

    I think it will be a disaster but I hope I’m wrong

  29. flyeaglesfly777 on

    Nudge your young friends in Pennsylvania to vote.
    Don’t discuss politics, just ask them if they will vote. If so, how? Ask them if they know the deadlines for mail-in voting if they can’t vote in person

    All hands on deck.

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