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31 Comments
Ooh. The Fuhrer will be furiously fuming at this “fake” news… lol
She’s literally filling up stadiums and raking in more money in small donations than any candidate in history…but sure, they “kind of like her”.
A candidate people actually like & not just the lessor of 2 evils… how novel!
I just like her because she’s not a racist, pedophile, traitor and convicted felon.
I know, I have low standards but you have to draw the line somewhere.
Who could have known that having a personality, character, and being able to speak about normal things and real issues coherently would appeal to people more than a felonious dotard spouting an endless litany of lies and grievances?
I’m like to get out of an era where we have to be stans of pols to vote for them. I like Biden well enough and the Dark Brandon memes were pretty amusing but that’s the extent of it. That’s about my level of personal engagement with Harris. I think that’s enough. I don’t have to make her my Dear Leader or pledge any kind of loyalty to support her. No one is going to call me a DINO for that attitude either. Let’s normalize that.
Hidden behind a login thing, for people who want to read it:
The 2024 White House race remains too close to call, but Vice President Kamala Harris’ momentum is evident when you look just a little past the horse race.
Earlier this week, Harris’ favorability emerged above water for the first time since shortly after President Joe Biden took office.
“She’s getting a chance to write her own story there and at least has been able to somewhat drive a more positive message about her,” Kristen Soltis Anderson, a founding partner at Echelon Insights, said on a press call hosted by AARP.
Soltis Anderson discussed a poll that the interest group commissioned, which found Harris has expanded Biden’s once-meager lead over women voters aged 50 and over.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average, Americans now have slightly more favorable views of Harris than unfavorable. This is a dramatic shift, considering Harris was once polling so low that, at times, she flirted with being the least popular vice president in recent history.
“She has been allowed to shine a bit, which I think is very difficult to do when you’re the No. 2. By definition, a large part of your job is to stand a few feet to the left and a few feet behind the president and be supportive,” Debbie Walsh, director of the Center for American Women and Politics told Business Insider. “As opposed to now being the person who is front and center and is allowed to talk about who she is, what she wants to accomplish, and she is allowed to talk about her strengths and what she brings to the table.”
Tim Malloy, a polling analyst for the Quinnipiac University Poll, said that favorability is a massive umbrella encompassing a wide range of emotions voters have for candidates. Likability also has a fraught history when it comes to female candidates, as best encapsulated by Barack Obama’s infamous 2008 jab that his Democratic senate colleague Hillary Clinton was “likable enough.”
Harris’ reversal of fortunes is a warning sign for former President Donald Trump’s campaign. Despite his and his allies’ best efforts, voters have yet to buy into their branding of Harris as a progressive chameleon who can’t be trusted. Even top Republicans, including former UN ambassador Nikki Haley, have recoiled at Trump’s attacks, including questioning her intelligence.
Harris has shaken up an election that once seemed poised to feature two of the least popular major presidential candidates since 1980, as FiveThirtyEight documented earlier this spring. Her rise is all the more remarkable given the hyperpartisanship that has overshadowed US politics to the point that some even wondered if there would ever be a return of popular presidential hopefuls.
As Gabe Fleisher wrote in his newsletter, Wake Up To Politics, the explanation for the shift could be very simple. Research shows Americans don’t form strong opinions of vice presidents. Now, reexamined on her terms, Harris has, to borrow one of her lines, “unburdened by what has been.”
But Trump could still win this election.
Harris’ campaign still views itself as an underdog. Famed forecaster Nate Silver’s model has returned to essentially a coin flip, though on Friday, it showed Harris with the first edge in weeks in the race to win the electoral college. The former president has been here before. Despite the reality that the most favorable candidate usually wins, he emerged victorious over Hillary Clinton in 2016 (who was also unpopular, though not nearly as disliked as he was).
This isn’t 2016, though. Walsh said Clinton’s failure was a flash point for women in American politics, a trend she thinks will benefit Harris. More women are now running for office and getting involved in politics than ever before. There’s now a larger percentage of women in Congress than at any other point in American history, according to the Pew Research Center.
Unlike Clinton, Walsh pointed out Harris hasn’t spent decades in the spotlight and isn’t faced with assuaging voters’ fears of a potential political dynasty. Clinton’s favorability, in fact, took almost the complete opposite journey from Harris’. Clinton was viewed more favorably as President Obama’s Secretary of State. Still, that goodwill dissipated as she geared up to become the first woman to be a major party’s presidential nominee and was made into a “caricature of who she was,” in Walsh’s view.
“I don’t know if you remember, but you could buy in airports the ‘Hillary Clinton’ nutcracker,” said Walsh, whose center is based at Rutgers University. “It played out, a lot of it gender-based, but compounded by all of these other factors that went into her candidacy and the public’s reaction to that.”
This isn’t Trump’s only struggle
One of Trump’s allies, North Carolina Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, is pressing on with a struggling gubernatorial campaign in a state that Democrats have only carried once this century (2008) but is now too close to call amid Harris’ rise. Robinson is trying to press through the latest scandal that he called himself a “Black Nazi” on a pornography forum decades ago. (Robinson has denied those are his words, despite CNN obtaining voluminous evidence to the contrary.)
Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance, remains deeply unpopular. And by almost every account, Trump lost the first and perhaps only debate to Harris. Democrats are even cutting into Trump’s advantage on the economy, the campaign’s biggest issue.
The best news he received all week is that Republicans in Nebraska may try one final time to change the state’s laws to deprive Harris of a likely Electoral College vote, potentially eroding her Great Lakes states/”Blue Wall” strategy.
Trump has also enjoyed a bit of a resurgence himself. Over the past year, he’s risen roughly 6 points in FiveThirtyEight’s favorability average. But a majority of Americans still view him unfavorably, which has been true since he descended the escalator in Trump Tower over nine years ago.
More troubling for Trump, Malloy pointed to Quinnipiac’s recent findings that Harris is ahead in Pennsylvania and Michigan with a third key battleground, Wisconsin, up for grabs. He said the combined results should be warning signs for the former president’s campaign. Harris’ favorability was up slightly in both Pennsylvania and Michigan.
“That is the canary in the coal mine for the Trump folks, that is the red flag for the Trump folks because it means people are getting to know her as a person,” Malloy said.
She’s OK! She’s OK! She’s OK!
Hah, honestly she wasn’t my first choice but she’s certainly growing on me and not doing anything to screw it up.
I think sort of liking a candidate is certainly better than being a hateful disgusting shit, so yea I would hope it is enough. If it’s not, America is doomed.
I sorta like her and I totally hate Trump, so…
Man the news coverage this election cycle has been absolutely garbage. Every horrible thing coming out of Trump’s campaign is sanitized and every good thing coming out of Harris’ campaign is dulled.
We love ❤️ Harris/Walz, and they love us.
It’s hate v love and love wins in the end!
She had high negatives as Biden’s VP before she became the candidate. The left didn’t like her mostly due to the perception of her being a heavy-handed AG in California. The right didn’t like her for…other reasons.
Now that we’re getting a fuller picture of her and given what the alternative is, her positives have spiked.
It’s almost like the more Trump tries to tear her down, the more people are like, “Eh, she’s not so bad after all.” Funny how that works.
That’s perfectly cromulant.
Some people appreciate her experience, but she hasn’t fully connected with the broader electorate.
I appreciate that she hasn’t raped women. Organized an insurrection. Stolen from a children foundation. Sends love letters to dictators. Saluted an enemy general. Made up false lies about illegal immigrants. Added $8T our debt in four years. Suggested we inject bleach.
Definitely a hard pick between her and the orange man.
“*Sort of*”?
What is with this headline?
Trump is literally using Nazi rhetoric.
Schools and hospitals have to shut down in Springfield because he is accusing immigrants of eating cats and dogs. Haitian immigrants are in fear for their life.
Haitian immigrants are in fear for their life. But no, let’s run the headline that maybe Kamala Harris isn’t a total Rockstar.
Let’s ignore the Nazi.
The person who wrote this article, and the editors who approved it, and the newspaper that ran it, all have a lot to answer for. I will be writing to them today. I suggest everyone do the same. Ask them why they are not writing articles about the literal Nazi running for president.
Over on the conservative sub I’ve seen a number of non ironic posts talking about how she is so incredibly unlikable…
Meanwhile, [reality #1](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/kamala-harris/) and [reality #2](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/).
The “undecided voter” that will still vote for trump is based out of misogyny and bigotry. This demographic is sadly much larger than we care to admit. It will be too close to call. maga will declare themselves victors and violently lash out at everyone they can.
After hearing her say that she would shoot a home intruder, America probably likes her even more!
Vote blue
Not enough. It’s too tight!
Harris>>orange Russian stooge
I like how she hasn’t raped anyone
I like Kamala because she is honest, and trustworthy. She also laughs. Trump doesn’t laugh.
“Sort of likes”.
No, we’re actually rooting for her.
Paywall
This is the GOPs fault. They rallied behind a hateful person. They have better candidates than Trump and ones that might have give Harris or Biden a challenge. This will be the 3rd year of nasty and it hasn’t compelled him to win the popular vote it’s just lead to political violence and Republicans going to jail. They are cowards and surrendering to a conman. The Democrats would rally behind just about anyone they believe that anyone blue will do especially when the other side is evil AF. How evil? So evil their own base has attempted to assassinate their candidate twice. It’s a fucking train wreck and some republicans are jumping off the train to support Harris because he’s such an evil embarrassing twat.
I’m a residential appraiser in Ohio and I do a ton of driving around SW Ohio. Saw about 15 Harris Walz signs driving through Middletown yesterday with 2 Trump signs. Heads up this is where Vance is from…
Sorta? I’m sure there a closet case magas who will vote blue this year. A landslide victory for Democrats. House and Senate. Maybe even Texas? Ha.
Sort of? Seems like they love her.