IDF fordert alle außer Dienst stehenden Truppen in Aserbaidschan und Georgien zum Abzug auf

Not necessarily attacking the country, but risk of terrorism remains

Iran has been operating on the territory of Azerbaijan since the 90s at least, in the form of spy networks, pseudo-religious preachers, sleeper cells, etc. We have seen many times what happens when Iran activates them. There is very little chance of a military engagement between the two countries but Israeli assets can be targeted. By assets I mean off-duty troops, embassy workers, pro-Israeli politicians, journalists, etc.

Iran already attacked the embassy of Azerbaijan in Tehran and attempted the assassination of Fazil Mustafa, a known criticism of Iran. This is quite alarming, to say the least. With Russia losing its capacity for war and global influence, Iran seems to be pushing its zone of interest into the South Caucasus. Khamenei recently threatened Armenia by saying the Zangezur road was not in the interest of Armenia and Pashinyan was sitting like a schoolboy in front of the director. Iran threatens Azerbaijan all the time. Unless Azerbaijan and Armenia act together, which is what the US is trying to achieve, the Iranian threat will increase each day.

That might be one of the reasons Azerbaijan dropped the demand for the corridor and will probably soften its position on constitutional change. Iranian regime in its worldview doesn’t see South Caucasus countries as sovereign ones and considers them a part of bigger Iran.