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7 Comments
Submission statement: The Iranian regime is in a crisis of its own making. While we can discuss until the end of time the humanitarian consequences of Israel’s strikes across the Middle East, we should celebrate the big goal of the weakening of the Iranian regime.
While some ultra-hardliners have pushed for a dash to the bomb, such a course of action would likely be unsuccessful. Even though IMHO a full-blown collapse does not seem imminent, Iran’s ability to retaliate from any military strike against their nuclear program is far less than before, and whatever tools they still have are more likely to backfire than not.
I hope that there will finally be some internal reforms in Tehran that will reduce the influence of the IRGC, but I am no Nostradamus, nor a Pollyanna.
Have they considered the Lord Jesus Christ, or the Mexican equivalent Hey Zeus? /s
The fact is, Iran becoming nuclear armed is not in anyone’s interest. We would first see regional nuclear proliferation across the Middle East and then likely the world.
If war is the only way to keep that from happening, then so be it.
OH NO!!! anyway.Â
Maybe the time of Islamic fundamentalists is coming to an end?
As Iran hardliners only showed the world they are willing to export violence beyond their borders they will continue to do so ounce they own nukes. So the time to decide to act against this regime is long overdue. The defensive action are NOT aimed against the average citizens of Iran. So decisions are made…….[to be continued]
OP argues that Iran can choose between conceding to Trump OR…”With nearly all its obvious national security pathways closed, Iran might be left with no option other than to turn inward toward addressing its domestic strains while seeking de-escalation with remaining adversaries and downplaying its drive for regional influence…and their nuclear program.”
What’s the difference between these two options? Seems like sloppy writing by OP.
Their international proxies slowly collapsing is also working well in tandem with domestic reforms by their new president. In the past their proxy gamesmanship was a way to strengthen themselves, now they will have to look inwards and solve domestic issues. If their leadership was smart they’d turtle up and prepare for Trump’s manic decision making. And potentially turn their eyes towards Afghanistan and build more soft power there.
Syria was their big prize but also a money pit for them, they’ve lost that money and their prize, but it does shuffle the deck of cards around in the Middle East. A newly rising Sunni Arab power not tied to the US but to the Gulf and Turkey is going to be a major player in the future. At the expense of Iran and Israel.