Renditen der US-Aktienmärkte (1872 bis 2024) – je weniger man hinschaut, desto mehr gewinnt man [OC]

Von getToTheChopin

4 Comments

  1. getToTheChopin on

    All charts and analysis: [https://themeasureofaplan.com/us-stock-market-returns-1870s-to-present/](https://themeasureofaplan.com/us-stock-market-returns-1870s-to-present/)

    Key insights:

    * Simple Average: the average return of the U.S. stock market has been 8.6% per year over the past ~150 years (1872 to 2024)
    * Annualized Average: the return of the U.S. stock market has been 7.1% per year on an annualized average basis, over the past ~150 years
    * The market has grown in 69% of all years, and declined in 31% of all years on record
    * While the range of returns across 1-year periods has varied significantly (from negative 37.0% to +53.2%), the annualized returns across 20-year periods have a much tighter range (from +0.5% to +13.2%)
    * The U.S. stock market has never declined over any 20-year period in history

    Tools used: excel, powerpoint

    Data sources: Robert Shiller dataset, Yahoo Finance

  2. fap_fap_fap_fapper on

    the less you look, the more you win

    ELI5? Does that mean the longer the time period, the more the…?

  3. dunkthefunkk on

    An average return of 0.5% per year over 20 years is pretty scary to think about. I get that it’s a worst case outcome, but still. Cool chart though!

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