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40 Comments
Nah africa still has some way to go and too many come here to have the peak within the next 30 years.
good
Let’s hope so! Humans and their domesticated animals already provide the bulk of biomass of all mammals on the planet. Between 3-6% of all species in all major classes have died out, and in some classes, up to 30% of all individuals have disappeared – all within 100 years.
Even countries with the highest birth rates today have seen a decline since the 50s.
we’re going to regress as a species, if we already arnt. as the uneducated and stupid have more kids and the civilized don’t
And by 2100, if trends continue, the world population will be the same as it was in 2000.
Which is still several billion, but now with millions of climate refugees on every continent.
It’s weird considering I remember a time when “overpopulation” was going to be a big issue in the future but it looks like it’ll be the opposite
Africa will still all migrate to Europe. Unless Europe becomes more strict it is doomed
Good
Good
As long as it doesn’t peak and then collapse, that sounds like an okay prospect. I wonder what the theoretical carrying capacity is for the Earth for humans and how the current population compares to that carrying capacity.
the below replacement countries, specifically the west, due to the wests additional needing of workforce, will have no option than to take the above replacement country’s people to replace the workforce to sustain their economies, which will be further fueled by the countries with above replacement being on average more impoverished and less educated than the west. This will simultaneously lead to brain drain from the above replacement countries creating a cycle. If trajectories maintain the way they are, the world should see a significant percentage increase of first gen african descent. am intoxicated currently but that’s my prediction.
stop noticing things
Ultimately we (as in Earth) desperately need a moment to breathe, so let’s just pray this is that breath we need and not just a nuclear hell or something.
It’s almost like it’s become too expensive to have kids worldwide. Yet we have generated more wealth in the last 30 years than the 100 before it.
So where did all this wealth go?
This is wonderful news. Our children shouldn’t be crammed in ever-smaller boxes to survive in dirty, urban environments.
Don’t look at me, I’m gay.
Other guys, hop to? Lol
and It’s still outdated, Peru, Ecuador, Venezuela, Sri Lanka and Maldives has fertility rate below 2.1 at 2024
Awesome, less lines to the waterpark
Replacement rate varies and 2.1 in many developed countries would be above (slightly) than replacement. For instance, low infant mortality and life tables being as they are, Canadas replacement rate would likely be closer to 2.05 or so. This is likely similar for OECD populations.
Can we fly a plane and just dump condoms all over Africa?
Good. The world is too crowded, and the planet can’t take it
I thought mexico is above the US and would be in the yellowish category.
I’m absolutely surprised that there’s Muslim countries like Indonesia, Bangladesh and Iran that are below replacement.
Good?
There’s literally no reason that we “need” to have this many people. As long as we have a stable population we’re good. Growth for the sake of growth is ridiculous.
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We’re gonna have old people dominate societies a lot more than they already do, and there also won’t be enough people to take care of them.
While the population decreasing is indeed good for the sake of the environment, it doing so at such a rate is gonna have an unprecedented shock on the way the world operates.
If this had been a gradual decline over maybe a century or so that would be one thing, but it isn’t.
Even more interesting times ahead.
Well clearly we just need to copy the robust social safety nets and childcare programs of Sudan, Congo and Somalia and we’ll start pumping out babies in no time
I just genuinely don’t believe it is as devastating as some people think it is. It will just require readjustment of our systems and a reorientation from an economy that expects population growth. If those things are sorted out, I can imagine the world population coming to stabilize at a supportable number of individuals.
I don’t really see the issue with this.
Until we leave the planet.
Good. We need the population to shrink back to the levels of the 1800’s. The only people who want a population increase are greedy short sighted Capitalists and Oligarchs.
This is probably a good thing to prevent overcrowding.
unlikely, it’ll just change where and when the pop grows. as many nations feel population crunches they will change policies to improve fertility. our global population won’t peak by natural causes, the only way it peaks is if we go to global war and reduce the pop artificially, which is why so many gov’s are trying to start wars. too many people, no vision for how to utilize them.
Kurzgesagt did an incredible video on this topic about a year ago. [Why Humans are Vanishing](https://youtu.be/LBudghsdByQ?si=X4nnI-YKGxyAVlEt)
This isn’t necessarily bad for humanity. The explosion in the population is an anomaly when you consider the growth of the population until the 20th century.
Its definitely bad for the economic system we live in, which requires a steady stream of young workers entering the workforce to keep it afloat.
GOOD
The question is: ‘Is Africa winning or is Africa losing?’
This is if current rates stay the same.
Truth be told, they won’t. There will eventually come a breaking point where a reactionary force will usurp the power balance. Don’t think a weltkreig as much as upper-middle classes in the Western world forcing in what they thought made the West strong in the 60’s.
I5 won’t actually be what made that time period great, but people will always misconstrue esthetics for an actual solution.
Good