Offensichtlich kommt es nicht zu einer nuklearen Eskalation (wenn Putin es tun will, wird er es ohne Vorwarnung 27 Mal tun), ABER was bedeutet ein russischer Angriff auf ein zukünftiges Land für die Sicherheit Europas? Ich meine, sollten wir mit Raketen in Polen rechnen? Brüssel usw.? Erlaubt ihnen das?

No one should expect this to go nuclear. It can be a “redline” but also not mean nuclear retaliation. Russias new doctrine does allow for Russia to have a basis for authorizing and approving a nuclear strike based on the given conditions as laid out in the doctrine. It doesn’t guarantee that nukes shall be launched.

Second, Russias argument (don’t hate me- I’m just saying what Russia believes) is that to launch ATACMS requires direct NATO involvement. It’s not the same as giving Ukraine satellite intelligence, or providing equipment like a tank or a f-16 to Ukraine. It requires direct NATO involvement for an *attack*, everything up to now has been *defensive*. Personally I see Russias point, allowing ATACMS is different and is a new type of escalation. To allow any strike into Russia with direct NATO involvement is a major problem for Russia, as now that that line has been crossed, what is to stop the next escalation further into Russia? Will it stop here? Is any level of attack on Russia acceptable?

Now, I don’t believe for a second Russia or NATO are going nuclear over this. But, it is an escalation that can’t go unanswered. A line has been crossed, and now Russia has to figure out what the correct proportional response is to NATO. Likely crossing a “red line” that NATO has put out before, like cable cutting. It’s no coincidence that this has just happened and is clearly Russian warning to NATO that they are willing to go further and cut data cables. Interesting times we live in.