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    [OC] Vergleich des Prozentsatzes der Stimmen des US-Präsidentschaftskandidaten mit dem Prozentsatz der Wählerstimmen (2000–2020)


    [OC] Vergleich des Prozentsatzes der Stimmen des US-Präsidentschaftskandidaten mit dem Prozentsatz der Wählerstimmen (2000–2020)

    Von JPAnalyst

    View 12 Comments

    12 Comments

    5. fijignr89 on

      Let’s keep this chart going and continue watching how Dems get repeatedly unfavorably treated by the electoral college. Much harder for a democrat to be elected president than a republican

    7. mvw2 on

      Interesting, shows how odd the Trump/Hilary race was. It also shows how popular Democrats have been in general with only Kerry being the outlier. More Importantly it shows the effect of gerrymandering and vote strength bias built into the election system, in average requiring a 2% popularity lead to offset the bias. However, the Trump/Clinton race shows this offset can exceed that quite significantly. For that race, Hillary would likely have needed nor than a 10% popular lead just to get to 50:50 on electoral. That election seems statistically improbable, but it’s mostly the stack up of small biases county to county, state to state, and the specific state win: lose mix that forced one of the most extreme total biases against Hilary that might be possible in a modem election. Against the average, she should have has a 4% electoral lead even with the 2% bias against her. She was a solid 15% down from where she should have been.

    8. AdviceWithSalt on

      The fact the popular vote has consistently been within 5% of the middle Since 2000 is *wild* to me.

    9. uncre8ive on

      I never realized how much better hillary did in a popular compared to gore, that’s honestly crazy to see how much 16 years changed

    10. Spore211215 on

      Let’s remember that gore actually got more of the electoral vote as well but Florida decided to just not count those votes instead so that way bush would win.

    11. AgentSquishy on

      It’s always crazy to remember that Republicans have won the popular vote once in my life and yet I’ve lived through 4 Republican terms

    12. snakesnake9 on

      I ran a little back of the envelope calculation based on the 2020 election results. If you took the voter turnout as it was back then, and then took 50.1% of the votes of the states with the least number of votes needed to get one Electoral College vote, then theoretically (and realise this would never happen in practice) get a majority of EC votes with just 22% of the popular vote.

      An extreme and completely unrealistic calculation, but I do think the whole EC system is absurd and antiquated.

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