Most polls seems to be converging around NDP +5 or so.
The real good news for the NDP here, however, isn’t the top line result, it is the regionals. They’re the right combination of realistic, with relatively high sample sizes, while also showing strong numbers in the seat-rich Lower Mainland. Those Richmond/Surrey results in particular could be what clinches the election.
Overall, it seems like Eby being more popular and voters being put off by Rustad’s weirdness and candidate drama will work in the NDP’s favour. It’s very rare to see incumbent premiers lose while leading on best premier, favourables, etc.
Kaurie_Lorhart on
>That said, the NDP’s advantage is not necessarily predicated by strong enthusiasm for the party that has been in power seven years. Against the backdrop of increasing voter frustration on key files such as cost of living, the addictions crisis, public safety and health care, fully half of New Democrat supporters say they are backing the party because they “really dislike” the other options available to them.
Pretty surprising imo. I find the BC NDP to be one of the most competent governments I’ve seen in my life time. They’ve been doing a great job overall. I really only have issues with their handling of old growth forest & LNG.
TheFallingStar on
BC deserves a better option than B.C. Conservatives. BC Conservatives is the worst version of B.C. Liberals
So tired of centre right parties in Canada moving to the far right.
Socialist_Spanker on
My sense is that the NDP is likely to carry the day. That said, part of the reason why they lost support was because of activist policies that were detrimental. Eby did acknowledge this with some walk-backs in policy. The other issue is the massive spending.
Horgan was more popular than Eby because he was pragmatic and ran a cautious budgetary approach. Eby would do well to remember that.
4 Comments
Most polls seems to be converging around NDP +5 or so.
The real good news for the NDP here, however, isn’t the top line result, it is the regionals. They’re the right combination of realistic, with relatively high sample sizes, while also showing strong numbers in the seat-rich Lower Mainland. Those Richmond/Surrey results in particular could be what clinches the election.
Overall, it seems like Eby being more popular and voters being put off by Rustad’s weirdness and candidate drama will work in the NDP’s favour. It’s very rare to see incumbent premiers lose while leading on best premier, favourables, etc.
>That said, the NDP’s advantage is not necessarily predicated by strong enthusiasm for the party that has been in power seven years. Against the backdrop of increasing voter frustration on key files such as cost of living, the addictions crisis, public safety and health care, fully half of New Democrat supporters say they are backing the party because they “really dislike” the other options available to them.
Pretty surprising imo. I find the BC NDP to be one of the most competent governments I’ve seen in my life time. They’ve been doing a great job overall. I really only have issues with their handling of old growth forest & LNG.
BC deserves a better option than B.C. Conservatives. BC Conservatives is the worst version of B.C. Liberals
So tired of centre right parties in Canada moving to the far right.
My sense is that the NDP is likely to carry the day. That said, part of the reason why they lost support was because of activist policies that were detrimental. Eby did acknowledge this with some walk-backs in policy. The other issue is the massive spending.
Horgan was more popular than Eby because he was pragmatic and ran a cautious budgetary approach. Eby would do well to remember that.