Aufsehen erregende Behauptungen über Wahlbetrug, wie sie Trump nach der Präsidentschaftswahl 2020 erhoben hat, können die Wahlbeteiligung behindern, allerdings nur vorübergehend, da die Wahlbeteiligung unter Trump-Anhängern zurückgeht. Diese Auswirkungen waren nur von kurzer Dauer, und bei den folgenden Wahlen normalisierte sich die Wahlbeteiligung wieder.
Trump’s election fraud allegations linked to temporary decline in voter turnout
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I’ve linked to the news release in the post above. In this comment, for those interested, here’s the link to the peer reviewed journal article:
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11109-024-09952-8
From the linked article:
New research published in the journal Political Behavior provides evidence that high-profile claims of electoral fraud, like those made by Donald Trump after the 2020 presidential election, can discourage voter participation—but only temporarily. The study examined Georgia’s 2021 Senate runoff elections and found a modest drop in turnout among Trump supporters. These effects, however, were short-lived, with turnout returning to normal in subsequent elections.
When looking at individual voters, those who were predicted to be strong Trump supporters showed a larger decrease in turnout, about 1.7 percentage points, compared to non-Trump supporters. This finding supports the idea that Trump’s fraud claims, amplified by widespread media coverage, may have discouraged some of his supporters from voting in the runoff.
“Our findings illustrate the potential for exposure to conspiracy theories and misinformation to erode not only attitudes toward the electoral system, but also participation in democratic politics,” the researchers wrote.
However, the study also found that this demobilizing effect was temporary. By the time of the 2022 Georgia Senate runoff, turnout among Trump supporters had largely returned to pre-2021 levels. In that election, the turnout decline among Trump supporters was less than one percentage point compared to non-Trump supporters, suggesting that the impact of the fraud allegations was short-lived.
I see an awful lot in the media regarding people’s stories of mistrust in our elections. The flip side is there are way more stories about people’s TRUST in our elections.
These stories of trust need to be told too, because these stories tell others why we do indeed trust in our elections. Failure to tell these stories of trust in our elections is nothing but failure on the part of the alleged “news” media..
I trust in our elections because I’ve actually worked them and seen how everybody, including those who find me personally and/or politically odious, work together to come up with a truthful and complete count. What’s your story?
Stupidity seems human….