https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-6Wu0Q7x5D0
Hier ist ein 19-minütiges Video über die Grenzen der Welt im Laufe der Zeit. Ich erwarte nicht, dass sich irgendjemand alles ansieht, aber es scheint mir, dass sich die Grenzen der Welt etwa in der 18. Minute des Videos (Mitte der 1950er Jahre) nicht mehr so stark verschieben.
Warum ist das so?
Was könnte sie dazu bringen, wieder umzuziehen?
Besteht eine Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass die kombinierten geopolitischen Ereignisse in Europa, im Nahen Osten und im Indopazifik dazu führen, dass die Grenzen der Welt bald wieder völlig unruhig werden?
Um das oben Genannte zu definieren "geopolitische Ereignisse" und Regionen weiter:
Europa: Der Russland-Ukraine-Krieg, aber auch im weiteren Sinne der potenzielle Aufstieg nationalistischer/populistischer Regime in Europa und der Niedergang der liberalen Demokratie)
Der Nahe Osten: Der israelisch-palästinensisch-iranische Konflikt, aber auch im weiteren Sinne iranische Stellvertreter (Houthis im Jemen, Assad-Regime in Syrien, Hisbollah im Libanon) und auch die stets fragilen sunnitisch-arabischen Regime und die vermeintlich ungebremste iranische Expansion
Indopazifik: (China gewinnt an Fähigkeiten und Einfluss, Taiwan, Südchinesisches Meer, Philippinen, Vietnam usw.)
Wahrscheinlich fehlen mir ein paar.
I have a simple question about the rules-based order
byu/SpecialistLeather225 ingeopolitics
2 Comments
Mid-50’s was the years post WW2. Everybody was just happy to be alive, economies were recovering, and the shakeout from WW2 in terms of borders were effectively done for a bit.
(I’m not making projections on the future.)
Immediately following WW2, the UN was formed and nearly every country joined. Although not explicitly stated (AFAIK), these founding principles very strongly imply that a country’s border should be respected. One of the founding principles is to refrain from using force.
In 1945, the US was basically the biggest and most un-destroyed economy in the world. Its navy and armed forces had no rivals. Many countries had suffered in the war and needed time to rebuild. By the time the Cold War began, ideological rivalries became fixed and basically it became rather difficult to conquer countries without one of the big powers stepping in.
The war basically signaled the end of colonial empires and by the 1970s nearly all major colonies were granted or won independence. To vastly oversimplify, if you were friendly with the West – the US guarded your borders from conquest and if you were friendly with the USSR, the USSR guarded your borders. (This is vastly oversimplified).
Of course there was still the Korean war, Vietnam war and various others but until 1991, many borders were more or less fixed by great power rivalry. Bangladesh split from Pakistan in 1971, Singapore joined Malaysia then left Malaysia and became an independent nation. Pakistan and India still don’t agree on borders of J&K. India and China have disputed borders. Yugoslavia broke up in the 1990s. South Sudan in the 2000s. Morocco has annexed Western Sahara. Eritrea broke away from Ethiopia. And Russia has “sponsored” a number of enclave “autonomous zones” that are neither here nor there as countries. Somaliland is kinda sorta independent from Somalia. So borders are not as fixed as you might imagine.