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7 Comments
> In the first six months of 2024, just 765,000 heat pumps were sold across the 13 major European countries, including France, Italy, Germany and Sweden, which collectively account for 80 per cent of the market, according to the European Heat Pump Association (EHPA).
> Sales fell from 1.44mn in the same period last year, as fewer subsidies and lower gas prices lessened the incentive for households to switch away from gas boilers, the EHPA added….
> Germany had hoped to become a pioneer in the switch to the new technology but a law introduced last year to encourage people to replace their gas and oil-fired boilers with heat pumps prompted a massive public backlash and the government eventually retreated and watered down the proposals…
> Investments in heat pumps increased 75 per cent to €23bn between 2020 and 2023, according to Bloomberg NEF figures. However, spending on the sector has since cooled in large part thanks to a drop off in subsidies in countries including Germany and Italy.
Right populism works
Heat pumps are great so long as your electricity company isn’t charging you a King’s ransom for your electricity – oh fuck!
I believe it’s mostly a matter of uncertainty about the development of technology, on one side, and of regulation, on the other.
I am planning a major renovation of my house and the most problematic topic is heating and air conditioning, because no one knows what regulatory requirements will be in the next five years. Should I keep my gas boiler – installed just two years ago – and switching to a heat pump later? Should I choose floor heating? Should I keep the two fireplaces, converting them to the (currently) “green” version, or get rid of them because they will be outlawed soon?
If you run subsidies that are not continuous and long term but just throw it randomly every other year you get exactly this effect…
Subsidizing a change is good strategy only if your plan is written years ahead and kept on schedule with changes being done after the said plan run till 2 years before completion. So heat pump strategy should include at least a 5, preferably longer, years of funding written out in advance and actually kept.
I think the issue is our houses are leaky uninsulated crap rather than the heat pumps in and of themselves
Bro it costs like 30-40k for heat pump systems even rich people don’t want to buy it ofc sales are low