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25 Comments
> According to a new Echelon Insights National Poll, Harris pulled ahead of Trump 47%-45% on who people said would definitely or probably do a better job with the economy and jobs, and Harris was ahead 48%-45% among those who responded she’s do better at tackling inflation and the cost of living.
According to this poll, she is now leading Trump in terms of handling the economy and tackling inflation!
Also, the new [Echelon Insights poll](https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/sept2024-verified-voter-omnibus-2/) has Harris ahead of Trump by 7 points, 52%-45%. These Harris+6 or 7 national polls are becoming more and more common. Reuters/Ipsos just came out with a poll of her ahead by 6 points yesterday.
The economy. Harris is up on Trump 47 to 45. That is fantastic news since this has long been considered Trump’s strongest area with voters (God only knows why). I guess her economic speech and work on the stump have started resonating with more voters.
If Harris is now winning on the economy, I’m nearly confident enough to say Trump is toast. Let’s make it reality by voting!
Who would’ve thought Harris could edge out Trump on the economy; it might shake up the whole narrative moving forward.
He’s currently on Fox fixated on sex change operations. He keeps repeating the same lie over and over reading from a list he’s looking at. It’s insane.
Trump bankrupted a casino and wants to replace income tax with Tarrifs and Americans are just now realizing maybe he’s a buffoon on economics. My lord……
I’m a little skeptical of this poll, but there are some interesting parts. This is a likely voter poll (meaning they’ve almost all voted before, and voted in the last couple of elections)
Breakdown was 39% Dem, 38% Rep, 20% ‘Ind’ – 39% of those polled were from Southern States, 22% Midwestern States. This is one of the few even/pro-Dem models I’ve seen out there this cycle.
As per usual in most of the recent polling, people who have a preference aren’t budging on their choice, high 90s in both cases.
Poll is light on 35-49 age group IMO (22% each 18-34, 35-49, 27% 50-64, 29% 65+) – this lines up with 30% of the respondents reporting as ‘Retired’, this is backed up by ‘81% of respondents have used Facebook in the last day’ and ‘51% get their news from local TV’.
People think Harris would be better than Trump at Karaoke 55%-16%
59% have an income under $75k (41% under 50k). 72% are not a parent/guardian of someone under 18.
Of those who mentioned the Taylor Swift endorsement was a factor – 73% Harris, 27% Trump
Only 17% will be voting by mail. 41% on election day, 18% in-person early
Concerns: 1) Cost of living 45%, 2) Jobs/Economy 27%, 3) Immigration 26%, 4) Democracy 16%, 5) Abortion 14%. Considering the older demo, that’s not a crazy breakdown, but I’ve noticed Abortion dropping out of the top 3 more and more lately.
Another thing that’s been consistent over the last couple of weeks, Biden’s at 43% favorable, he’s been 42-43% pretty shockingly consistently of late.
Harris is above water favorable in this one, 51%
I’m not sure I love the model or sample, but they did ask a lot of interesting questions at least. Worth a read through, I think.
The article is slanted. The last bit talks about her getting away from Biden’s ‘baggage’ on the economy. What baggage? It’s been all upside since he took over from Drumph.
This wad shouldn’t even be at 10%.
Turn the oxygen off November
Democrats will never overtake republicans to reach their base’s main policy concern: Screaming and ranting at the clouds
I was listening to the Bulwark a couple of days ago when there was another poll that had her down a point on the economy and Bill Kristol was saying if that is as good as things get for her on this issue she will win the election.
Biden and then Harris has been so underwater on the economy that this turnaround is impressive. The polls are still so tight but these other indicators are really good signs.
State polls > National
Meanwhile in North Carollina, republicans remove nearly a million from voter rolls. If you know anyone in North Carolina, keep them up to speed, bang on their doors, and let them know what’s up.
Kamala Harris has a slight edge ahead of Donald Trump on an issue that’s consistently ranked at the top of voters’ minds: the economy.
According to a new Echelon Insights National Poll, Harris pulled ahead of Trump 47%-45% on who people said would definitely or probably do a better job with the economy and jobs, and Harris was ahead 48%-45% among those who responded she’s do better at tackling inflation and the cost of living.
— Benjy Sarlin (@BenjySarlin) September 26, 2024
In a separate poll from earlier in the month, about 4 in 10 registered voters say Trump would do a better job handling the economy, while a similar number say that about Harris, according to a new poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. About 1 in 10 voters don’t trust either candidate, and a similar share has equal faith in them.
The finding is a warning sign for Trump, who has tried to link Harris to Joe Biden’s economic track record.
The polls suggest that Harris may be escaping some of the president’s baggage on the issue, undercutting what was previously one of Trump’s major advantages.
The economy has long been a weak issue for Biden: A separate AP-NORC poll conducted in late June, before Biden’s disastrous debate with Trump, found that about 6 in 10 Americans disapproved of his handling of the economy. Earlier this year, Americans were much more likely to say that Trump’s presidency helped the country on cost of living and job creation, compared to Biden’s.
Thrills a moron with a 3rd grade level understanding of economics, so embarrassing for this country.
I know it’s not really something to campaign on, since it hasn’t really borne a lot of fruit (yet), but I think one of the strongest potentials Biden-Harris have on the economy is their general anti-monopolist stance. It’s a rather big shift after decades of pretty laissez-faire attitude beginning with Reagan. Want to bring grocery costs down? A big piece is the prevention of further grocery store mergers, for example, and maybe even breaking up companies like Kroger.
The voters 2nd top concern is “Netflix cancelling my favorite tv show after 1 season.” But the politicians have been surprisingly silent on this topic.
/s
All she needs to say to keep this momentum up is “The fact that Trump doesn’t understand how much his proposed tariffs would hurt the economy shows how unequipped he is to manage our economy”
Goldman Sachs sees a Harris win will be a big boost to the economy, while a Trump win would result a negative hit to the economy.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/goldman-sachs-sees-biggest-boost-us-economy-harris-win-2024-09-04/
She’s not the actual devil?
trump inherited Obama’s economy and rode the wave solely on the heels of his administration.
In 2016, I asked my brother why he was willing to hand the financial running of our country to a man who had filed for bankruptcy 4 times in the past 10 years.
He suddenly realized he was not.
Thank goodness. We still got trump, but I didn’t know anyone who voted for him.
What a poorly written headline
I understand that voters’ view of Biden’s economic record is fairly negative, and as a result, Kamala has to do this delicate dance where she distances herself from Biden, but not to the degree that it’s ridiculous for voters to believe. From this poll, it would seem she’s doing a good job of toeing that line.
But dammit — it’s frustrating to me that (a) voters have that view, and (b) she can’t more forcefully defend the record. Biden’s economy was marred by inflation and price gouging, while the 30+ year, long-term cost trends of major life things like healthcare, childcare, higher ed, and of course HOUSING accelerated. So I get why folks feel that way. But every country had inflation, and ours fared the best. It’s now back to normal.
So: inflation is down, job market is solid, stock market (and 401(k)s) are at record levels, gas prices are low, investments in infrastructure and energy production are way up. Why can’t more folks see that actually — especially given the circumstances — this economy is actually pretty fucking great! It would make her argument that much better. I suppose if her strategy is working she shouldn’t change it, but damn I wish she could hammer home and more forcefully defend her administration’s record.
Harris should have buried trump on the economy, but voters are to stupid to understand that tarrifs will drive inflation and lead to shortages, etc. And just tank the exonomy