Harris liegt landesweit fünf Punkte vor Trump: Umfrage

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4893286-harris-tops-trump-by-5-points-nationally-poll/

46 Comments

  1. 2_Spicy_2_Impeach on

    I’m not getting complacent, will vote, and hopefully convince more folks to vote but this certainly feels like a turning point. I don’t think it’s going to be close at all (outside of Republican rat-fucking).

  2. Antisocial-sKills on

    The ONLY poll that will matter is at your polling place on election day.

    Nation polls are not an accurate indicator. People vote locally and votes matter more in some states than others.

  3. account_for_yaoi on

    Biden won with a final popular vote margin of +4.5. I feel a bit better about the EC if this 5 point lead ends up as reality.

  4. MiepGies1945 on

    Do not believe or trust the polls.

    All news outlets predicted that Hillary Clinton had an 85% chance to win.

    People stayed home & did not vote for Clinton.

    I lived in Utah & I showed up at my polling place to vote in person & they changed the entrance to the polling location. Same building but door was locked & no sign of where to vote. Luckily I figured it out.

    My point is that things can go wrong. Make sure you are registered. Vote early. This is the most important election ever.

    Trump is beholden to Putin. That should terrify you.

    Watch this video… fascinating

    [From Russia With Lev](https://youtu.be/LIbKyujShRY?feature=shared)

  5. FarComedian6682 on

    Polls can be a snapshot of the current mood but they aren’t foolproof. The real impact comes from voter turnout, so regardless of the polls, making sure everyone gets out to vote is key.

  6. NoPomegranate4794 on

    Early voting starts in two weeks where I live. Can’t wait!

  7. sorospaidmetosaythis on

    Say, I’ve heard that opinion polls don’t determine the outcomes of elections, which are actually decided based on ballots cast.

    Is this true?

  8. ShaggyLlamaRage on

    I’m kind of getting tired of this posts, I’m voting for Harris, I don’t want these posts to make people think “oh, she will win anyway without my vote”

    NO! You should be scared, you should know there a chance to lose to trump, GET OUT AND VOTE PEOPLE!

  9. robot_jeans on

    Nationally doesn’t mean shit, we need +10 in each battle ground state plus NC and another to avoid GA and AZ shenanigans.

  10. TrooperJohn on

    The trend lines matter at least as much as the raw numbers.

    Harris’ support has slowly, steadily grown since she entered the race. Not linearly, but overall the drift has been clear.

    Watch what the campaigns are doing. One of them is frantically trying to change EC allocations, changing election rules at the last minute, and making up stories about cat-eating immigrants. The other one is just plugging away, communicating with voters, and doing its best to earn votes rather than suppress them.

    It’s obvious which way this has been going.

  11. I’m still gobsmacked that anyone would vote for the seditious, felonious, Russian asset. I suppose I don’t understand the cult mindset. It should not even be close.

  12. NewMidwest on

    Trump voters turn to conspiracy theories and nonsense to explain Trump’s loss in 2020.
    The simple truth is, Americans don’t like him.

  13. Kind-City-2173 on

    Harris needs to be winning by a decent margin in the polls because they are often inaccurate and look what happened in 2020. The race was so much tighter than it was projected to be.

  14. In any other modern democracy there would be a 0 at the end of that 5. What the fuck is wrong with us?

  15. Tops Chump by 5 points nationally.

    But that pesky electoral college lurking in the shadows being molested and rigged by Lindsey Gramhm and his MAGA cronies in Nebraska.

  16. Reminds me of when Obama was running. Pure joy and confidence. We’re going to beat that fascist, felon trump, then it will be off to prison for the Russian asset

  17. memphisjones on

    That’s why Republicans in Nebraska and Georgia are changing the voting laws to rig the election in their favor.

  18. cometflight on

    That’s actually a travesty. I will never understand what people see in that orange blimp. He’s a horrendous human being.

  19. TheRealTK421 on

    What I **love**:

    For the *vaaaast* amount of polling/stats gathered (by the venerable & most-respected orgs), this is *outside the margin of error*.

    Soooo, statistically, there’s nothing ‘iffy’ or dubious in these numbers.

    And I fully suspect this gap *will* widen as the snowball rolls on. Voters have a noted tendency to tilt *towards* those who are increasingly deemed “the (obvious) winner” even if – and *especially* when – they may be on the fence.

    For me, *this* indicates that moderate R/GOP (suburban) women, aged 25-40, are increasingly likely to skew towards Harris. And soooon, we’ll have our first instance as Americans to say “Madame President”.

    **That’s >>dope<<!!**

  20. mistertickertape on

    She still has a lot of room to go up and republicans, especially trump and Vance, have a lot of gaffes they can and will make between now and Election Day.

  21. Rough_Idle on

    I’m seeing a bit of a disconnect between these now steady headlines of Harris out polling Trump and the aggregator websites like 270towin which still show this race as neck and neck. If these stories are accurate and the sites reflect them accurately, their heat maps should look a lot different than they do. I guess I have low confidence in the process right now, partly because I cannot imagine what an undecided voter is weighing in their mind at this point.

    Bottom line: get out and vote

  22. lockstocks85 on

    Read the first 3 words of the title and channelled my inner Archer… PHRASING!

  23. sunflowerastronaut on

    >The survey noted some Republicans who were Trump voters in 2016 and 2020 showed similar signs of disdain for their candidate but came back to vote for him in the end, signaling some of Trump’s polling may not be reflective of how people will vote in a few weeks.

    >Harris’s surge nationally may be driven by her campaign efforts in battleground states. A CBS News survey released Sunday showed she slightly improved her lead over Trump in battleground states after the presidential debate.

    >The NBC News poll was conducted Sept. 13-17 among 1,000 voters and has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

    That part about how conservative voters will vote for Trump in the end couldn’t be more true

  24. Giants4Truth on

    A reminder of all the polls that said Hillary had a 5 point lead over Trump. These polls can’t be trusted. Make sure you are registered and vote.

  25. Conventional wisdom is that she needs ~3% nationally over TFG in order to win the electoral college. So it’s a good sign, but go out and VOTE, dangit.

  26. HistoryNerd101 on

    After the shock of 2016 I don’t think anybody is taking this one for granted + Harris/Walz are way more likable than Clinton/Kaine so many will come out to vote for the ticket not just against the other one

  27. MidnightNo1766 on

    Still not enough. Keep pounding that payment, mailing those postcards and making those calls.

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