The Peanut Gallery: Die Ukraine sprengt Russlands Kommunikations-Nexus – Putins Einfluss auf die Krim wird schwächer

https://www.nuttyspectacle.com/p/the-peanut-gallery-ukraine-detonates-d1c

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  1. Thestoryteller987 on

    Welcome to the [Peanut Gallery](https://www.nuttyspectacle.com/)! Today was a bad day for Putin’s Azov Sea Fleet.

    Please remember that I know nothing.

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    **[Ukraine:](https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-24-2024)**

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    >Ukrainian forces struck a [Azov] Sea Fleet [(ASF)] communications center in occupied Sevastopol, Crimea, and reportedly struck an oil depot and at least partially damaged two [ASF] landing ships on the night of March 23.

    >The Ukrainian General Staff reported on March 24 that Ukrainian forces successfully struck the [ASF]’s Yamal and Azov Ropucha-class landing ships, a [ASF] communications center, and several unspecified [ASF] infrastructure facilities in Sevastopol.[1] A Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed that Ukrainian forces launched over 40 Storm Shadow and Neptune missiles, ADM-160 decoy missiles, and drones during the strike.[2] Geolocated footage published on March 24 shows a missile strike on the [ASF] communications center, and satellite imagery published on March 24 shows significant damage to the building.

    Y’all recall last July when the grain deal fell apart? Back then, Russia had a stranglehold over Odessa, utterly uncontested in the Black Sea. But now look at them, smoldering in harbors across the Black Sea. The ravaged remains a once-proud fleet now cower in the Azov Sea.

    Traffic between Kerch and Sevastopol is dangerous. Ukraine proved that last night. The ASF woke this morning to the horrific realization that they cannot even trust the deepest, safest depths of Sevastopol’s harbor…or the lucky ones did, at any rate.

    Here’s a fun fact: before last night’s attack, the Azov Sea Fleet only had five landing ships. They’ll be down to three if the *Yamal* and *Azov* ships go out. That’s going to *fuck* Russian logistics, and that’s not even mentioning how the fleet is now utterly incapable of maintaining congruity with Sevastopol.

    But do you folks want to know the funny thing? Those landing ships mean *jack-shit* when compared with the value of that communication center. That thing was the very expensive relay for Russian communications into the western half of the Black Sea. Without it their very ability to speak with vessels in the region is in question.

    We often take for granted that we can talk with anyone at any moment, our instant ability to vomit our opinions into space. That very ubiquity of capability blinds us to the horrific possibility that some people go without, some lack the know-how to build a globe-spanning satellite network to facilitate said miracle of communication. Poor bastards. I weep for them—or at least I would if they weren’t such phenomenal twats.

    Unfortunately for Moscow, they’ve got to use relays, and the keystone of one of those relays just went ‘Boom!’ The whole frigging fleet must be sitting around right now just scratching their heads—asking themselves, “What the fuck do we do now?”

    >Russian forces are reportedly approaching the outskirts of Chasiv Yar, Donetsk Oblast but are unlikely to threaten the settlement with encirclement or seizure in the coming months.

    ISW says there are visible, significant fortifications all around Chasiv Yar, implying its capture will require an effort on the scale-of, if not exceeding the capture of Avdiivka. Putin hasn’t amassed significant forces in the area as of today’s date, so the settlement isn’t in any real threat.

    [Chasiv Yar](https://www.google.com/maps/place/Chasiv+Yar,+Donetsk+Oblast,+Ukraine,+84551/@48.6801703,37.6108478,10.25z/data=!4m6!3m5!1s0x40dfc265770420a7:0x6ebab1caadedcdb5!8m2!3d48.5884808!4d37.8354218!16zL20vMGd0cWN6?entry=ttu) appears to be where Ukraine intends to make her stand next. It positions them within tube artillery range of the E-40 highway, meaning as long as the settlement holds, Russia can’t use that critical supply artery connecting Bakhmut to Slovyansk. The return of traffic to the E-40 would place a greater burden on Lyman.

    >The seizure of Chasiv Yar would offer Russian forces limited but not insignificant operational benefits if they could achieve it.

    Far more significant than the target of their last offensive, at any rate. Whereas Ukraine’s retrograde advance on Avdiivka arguably strengthened their overall defensive position, a loss of Chasiv Yar would clearly weaken it. I don’t think we can expect Ukraine to give up Chasiv Yar easy.

    >Russian forces conducted a series of drone and missile strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure on the night of February 23 to 24, mainly targeting southern and western Ukraine.

    Energy infrastructure? But why? It’s fuckin’ March—Spring! Easter is *next week*. Check the trees, bitch. They’re blooming.

    What good can the Kremlin expect from these strikes? Energy infrastructure is not a critical factor in Ukraine’s ability to conduct war. Ukraine long-since installed generators everywhere they’re warranted, so even the temporary power outages will fail to stop the war-effort. They just fuck with civilian’s day-to-day and makes life a little worse. Hardly existential.

    Whereas Ukraine’s hits to Putin’s irreplaceable refineries? Those are *vital*.

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    **[Refinery Bingo!](https://www.reddit.com/r/TheNuttySpectacle/comments/1bmtxdk/refinery_bingo_now_bigger_better_and_inexplicably/)** Has been updated.

    Yeppers, I made everything purple and nailed it to the front page of /r/TheNuttySpectacle.

    I can’t help but echo /u/Franknarf’s in that it feels like there should be some sort of prize for winning. Get a Bingo, get something shiny. That’s how the World’s supposed to work. Spit balling ideas…I could tell stories about when I worked night shifts at a sleazy motel. That’s just off the top of my head, though, so what would you like to see in a prize?

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    >The Islamic State’s (IS) Amaq News Agency published footage on March 23 purportedly filmed from the perspective of the attackers involved in the March 22 Crocus City Hall attack.

    The footage is horrific. ISIS did it. Let’s just leave it at that.

    >Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov expressed concerns about Russian ultranationalist reactions to the Crocus City Hall attack.

    Yeah, Kadyrov? Don’t like ultranationalist xenophobia in response to terrorist attack? That’s fair, but now might not be the time to bitch, buddy.

    Putin isn’t going to do anything decisively against ISIS, so all that ultranationalist hate needs to go somewhere…and I’ll be damned if Kadyrov doesn’t kind’a-sort’a look like the people who did this whole thing. Funny that.

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    >Russian authorities continue to militarize children in occupied Ukraine as part of efforts to Russify Ukrainian children and create a resource for Russia’s future force generation needs. (..) Russian authorities have approved the creation of the Luhansk Cadet Corps under the Russian Investigative Committee (Russia’s rough equivalent to the American Federal Bureau of Investigation), possibly before 2025.[61] Lysohor stated that Luhansk Cadet Corps will teach Ukrainian children about pro-Russian concepts including their “debt” to the Russian “Motherland.”

    [Please give Ukraine what they need to bring this war to an end.](https://u24.gov.ua/)

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    ‘Q’ for the Community:

    * Ukraine hit Sevastopol and Ukraine hit it *hard*. Do you believe Russia will continue to operate west of Crimea? Or has Sevastopol seen the last of the Azov Sea Fleet?

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    * Join the conversation of on /r/TheNuttySpectacle!

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